Z. Svajda vs A. Kovacevic prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Missed prediction
Z. SvajdaA. Kovacevic
61.6 %38.4 %
Model favourite
Z. Svajda
Probability
62 %
Predicted score
2-0
Actual score
1-2 · A. Kovacevic

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

ATPTokyoQualifyinghard court05:30
Z. Svajda
Z. Svajda
vs
A. Kovacevic
A. Kovacevic
2104
Elo
2031
2049
Elo on hard court
1966
4 / 10
Form (last 10)
4 / 10
0
Recent matches
1
Even
Head-to-head
Even
–
Odds
–

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

Z. Svajda
  1. L
  2. W
  3. W
  4. L
  5. W
  6. L
  7. L
  8. L
  9. W
  10. L
A. Kovacevic
  1. L
  2. L
  3. W
  4. L
  5. W
  6. W
  7. W
  8. L
  9. L
  10. L
4 – 6
Wins – losses
4 – 6
14 – 17
Sets won – lost
10 – 14
1 loss
Current streak
3 losses
27-19 (59%)
2026 record
21-30 (41%)
118-86 (58%)
Record on hard court
146-113 (56%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by Z. Svajda and A. Kovacevic, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

Z. Svajda comes in with an Elo of 2104, against 2031 for A. Kovacevic: a 73-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 83 points in favour of Z. Svajda. Z. Svajda won 4 of the last ten matches, A. Kovacevic won 4. Z. Svajda has one win in the last five matches. A. Kovacevic has 2 wins in the last five matches. Since 2020, A. Kovacevic leads 2 to 1 in their direct meetings. No bookmaker odds are available for this match.

The model gave Z. Svajda the win at 62 %, with a likely score of 2-0. A. Kovacevic won 2-1: prediction missed.

Recent matches

Z. Svajda's last five matches

A. Kovacevic's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

A. Kovacevic leads 2 to 1

Road through the tournament

This is Z. Svajda's first match of the tournament. This is A. Kovacevic's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by C. Alcaraz, who beat T. Fritz in the final (6-4 6-4).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, Z. Svajda wins 53 % (52 of 99), A. Kovacevic 50 % (103 of 208). In deciding sets, Z. Svajda wins 53 % of the time (96 matches), A. Kovacevic 51 % (137 matches). After losing the first set, Z. Svajda turned 26 % of matches around (118 occasions), A. Kovacevic 20 % (164 occasions). After winning the first set, Z. Svajda went on to win 81 % of matches, A. Kovacevic 81 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about Z. Svajda – A. Kovacevic

Who is the favourite between Z. Svajda and A. Kovacevic?
The match is over: A. Kovacevic won 2-1. No bookmaker odds are available for this match. Pronocast's model had Z. Svajda winning at 62 %.
When is the Z. Svajda – A. Kovacevic match?
On Monday, 28 September 2026 at 05:30, at the Tokyo tournament (Qualifying, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between Z. Svajda and A. Kovacevic?
Since 2020, A. Kovacevic leads 2 to 1 in their direct meetings.
Where can I see the prediction for Z. Svajda – A. Kovacevic?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Tokyo

Tournament page

Other matches on 28 September 2026

All matches on 28 September 2026