A. Bolt vs E. Zhu prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
A. BoltE. Zhu
65.9 %34.1 %
Model favourite
A. Bolt
Probability
66 %
Predicted score
2-0
Actual score
2-1 · A. Bolt

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerJingshanRound of 16hard court05:35
A. Bolt
A. Bolt
vs
E. Zhu
E. Zhu
1920
Elo
1849
1878
Elo on hard court
1829
4 / 10
Form (last 10)
7 / 10
4
Recent matches
5
Edge
Head-to-head
–
1.43
Odds
2.62

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

A. Bolt
  1. L
  2. L
  3. W
  4. L
  5. L
  6. L
  7. W
  8. W
  9. L
  10. W
E. Zhu
  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. W
  5. L
  6. W
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. W
4 – 6
Wins – losses
7 – 3
9 – 13
Sets won – lost
17 – 7
1 win
Current streak
2 wins
20-21 (49%)
2026 record
21-12 (64%)
81-81 (50%)
Record on hard court
62-70 (47%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by A. Bolt and E. Zhu, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

A. Bolt comes in with an Elo of 1920, against 1849 for E. Zhu: a 71-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 49 points in favour of A. Bolt. A. Bolt won 4 of the last ten matches, E. Zhu won 7. A. Bolt has 3 wins in the last five matches. E. Zhu has 4 wins in the last five matches. Since 2020, A. Bolt leads 2 to 0 in their direct meetings. Bookmakers make A. Bolt the favourite.

The model gave A. Bolt the win at 66 %, with a likely score of 2-0. A. Bolt won 2-1: prediction correct.

Recent matches

A. Bolt's last five matches

E. Zhu's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

A. Bolt leads 2 to 0

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, A. Bolt beat S. Pankin (6-3 6-2). To reach this round, E. Zhu beat Z. Xia (6-1 6-0), then H. Liu (6-3 6-4). In 2025, the tournament was won by E. Spizzirri, who beat A. Bolt in the final (6-4 6-4).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, A. Bolt wins 56 % (60 of 107), E. Zhu 51 % (27 of 53). In deciding sets, A. Bolt wins 48 % of the time (69 matches), E. Zhu 59 % (63 matches). After losing the first set, A. Bolt turned 17 % of matches around (108 occasions), E. Zhu 15 % (81 occasions). After winning the first set, A. Bolt went on to win 84 % of matches, E. Zhu 78 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about A. Bolt – E. Zhu

Who is the favourite between A. Bolt and E. Zhu?
The match is over: A. Bolt won 2-1. Bookmakers make A. Bolt the favourite, priced at 1.43 against 2.62 for E. Zhu. Pronocast's model had A. Bolt winning at 66 %.
When is the A. Bolt – E. Zhu match?
On Thursday, 1 October 2026 at 05:35, at the Jingshan tournament (Round of 16, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between A. Bolt and E. Zhu?
Since 2020, A. Bolt leads 2 to 0 in their direct meetings.
Where can I see the prediction for A. Bolt – E. Zhu?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Jingshan

Tournament page

Other matches on 1 October 2026

All matches on 1 October 2026