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A. Bublik vs J. Mensik prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
A. BublikJ. Mensik
38.8 %61.2 %
Model favourite
J. Mensik
Probability
61 %
Predicted score
0-2
Exact score
Actual score
0-2 · J. Mensik

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

ATPBeijingRound of 32hard court14:40
A. Bublik
A. Bublik
vs
J. Mensik
J. Mensik
2251
Elo
2272
2163
Elo on hard court
2182
5 / 10
Form (last 10)
5 / 10
1
Recent matches
3
–
Head-to-head
Edge
2.48
Odds
1.58

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

A. Bublik
  1. L
  2. L
  3. W
  4. W
  5. W
  6. L
  7. W
  8. W
  9. L
  10. L
J. Mensik
  1. L
  2. W
  3. W
  4. L
  5. W
  6. W
  7. L
  8. L
  9. W
  10. L
5 – 5
Wins – losses
5 – 5
15 – 13
Sets won – lost
16 – 14
2 losses
Current streak
1 loss
28-19 (60%)
2026 record
33-18 (65%)
93-81 (53%)
Record on hard court
89-48 (65%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by A. Bublik and J. Mensik, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

J. Mensik comes in with an Elo of 2272, against 2251 for A. Bublik: a 21-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 20 points in favour of J. Mensik. A. Bublik won 5 of the last ten matches, J. Mensik won 5. A. Bublik has 2 wins in the last five matches. J. Mensik has 2 wins in the last five matches. Since 2020, J. Mensik leads 2 to 1 in their direct meetings. Bookmakers make J. Mensik the favourite.

The model gave J. Mensik the win at 61 %, with a likely score of 2-0. J. Mensik won 2-0: prediction correct.

Recent matches

A. Bublik's last five matches

J. Mensik's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

J. Mensik leads 2 to 1

Road through the tournament

This is A. Bublik's first match of the tournament. This is J. Mensik's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by J. Sinner, who beat L. Tien in the final (6-2 6-2).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, A. Bublik wins 52 % (76 of 147), J. Mensik 59 % (66 of 111). In deciding sets, A. Bublik wins 59 % of the time (101 matches), J. Mensik 52 % (89 matches). After losing the first set, A. Bublik turned 24 % of matches around (147 occasions), J. Mensik 21 % (76 occasions). After winning the first set, A. Bublik went on to win 85 % of matches, J. Mensik 83 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about A. Bublik – J. Mensik

Who is the favourite between A. Bublik and J. Mensik?
The match is over: J. Mensik won 2-0. Bookmakers make J. Mensik the favourite, priced at 1.58 against 2.48 for A. Bublik. Pronocast's model had J. Mensik winning at 61 %.
When is the A. Bublik – J. Mensik match?
On Thursday, 1 October 2026 at 14:40, at the Beijing tournament (Round of 32, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between A. Bublik and J. Mensik?
Since 2020, J. Mensik leads 2 to 1 in their direct meetings.
Where can I see the prediction for A. Bublik – J. Mensik?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Beijing

Tournament page

Other matches on 1 October 2026

All matches on 1 October 2026