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A. De Minaur vs M. Navone prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
A. De MinaurM. Navone
77.0 %23.0 %
Model favourite
A. De Minaur
Probability
77 %
Predicted score
2-0
Exact score
Actual score
2-0 · A. De Minaur

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

ATPBeijingRound of 32hard court05:10
A. De Minaur
A. De Minaur
vs
M. Navone
M. Navone
2334
Elo
2195
2247
Elo on hard court
2034
7 / 10
Form (last 10)
5 / 10
3
Recent matches
0
Edge
Head-to-head
–
1.18
Odds
3.70

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

A. De Minaur
  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. W
  5. L
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W
M. Navone
  1. L
  2. W
  3. W
  4. L
  5. W
  6. L
  7. L
  8. W
  9. W
  10. L
7 – 3
Wins – losses
5 – 5
16 – 9
Sets won – lost
12 – 16
3 wins
Current streak
1 loss
36-18 (67%)
2026 record
27-22 (55%)
145-78 (65%)
Record on hard court
19-35 (35%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by A. De Minaur and M. Navone, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

A. De Minaur comes in with an Elo of 2334, against 2195 for M. Navone: a 139-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 213 points in favour of A. De Minaur. A. De Minaur won 7 of the last ten matches, M. Navone won 5. A. De Minaur has 4 wins in the last five matches. M. Navone has 2 wins in the last five matches. Since 2020, A. De Minaur leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings. Bookmakers make A. De Minaur the favourite.

The model gave A. De Minaur the win at 77 %, with a likely score of 2-0. A. De Minaur won 2-0: prediction correct.

Recent matches

A. De Minaur's last five matches

M. Navone's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

A. De Minaur leads 1 to 0

Road through the tournament

This is A. De Minaur's first match of the tournament. This is M. Navone's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by J. Sinner, who beat L. Tien in the final (6-2 6-2).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, A. De Minaur wins 59 % (71 of 121), M. Navone 49 % (39 of 79). In deciding sets, A. De Minaur wins 58 % of the time (101 matches), M. Navone 52 % (91 matches). After losing the first set, A. De Minaur turned 28 % of matches around (137 occasions), M. Navone 30 % (122 occasions). After winning the first set, A. De Minaur went on to win 88 % of matches, M. Navone 80 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about A. De Minaur – M. Navone

Who is the favourite between A. De Minaur and M. Navone?
The match is over: A. De Minaur won 2-0. Bookmakers make A. De Minaur the favourite, priced at 1.18 against 3.70 for M. Navone. Pronocast's model had A. De Minaur winning at 77 %.
When is the A. De Minaur – M. Navone match?
On Thursday, 1 October 2026 at 05:10, at the Beijing tournament (Round of 32, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between A. De Minaur and M. Navone?
Since 2020, A. De Minaur leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings.
Where can I see the prediction for A. De Minaur – M. Navone?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Beijing

Tournament page

Other matches on 1 October 2026

All matches on 1 October 2026