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A. Ilagan vs M. Sharipov prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Missed prediction
A. IlaganM. Sharipov
29.2 %70.8 %
Model favourite
M. Sharipov
Probability
71 %
Predicted score
0-2
Actual score
2-0 · A. Ilagan

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerJingshanRound of 16hard court15:25
A. Ilagan
A. Ilagan
vs
M. Sharipov
M. Sharipov
1943
Elo
2036
1897
Elo on hard court
2070
5 / 10
Form (last 10)
9 / 10
2
Recent matches
6
–
Head-to-head
Edge
3.05
Odds
1.33

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

A. Ilagan
  1. L
  2. W
  3. W
  4. W
  5. L
  6. W
  7. L
  8. L
  9. L
  10. W
M. Sharipov
  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. W
  5. W
  6. W
  7. W
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W
5 – 5
Wins – losses
9 – 1
12 – 13
Sets won – lost
19 – 4
1 win
Current streak
8 wins
29-22 (57%)
2026 record
28-11 (72%)
74-64 (54%)
Record on hard court
52-21 (71%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by A. Ilagan and M. Sharipov, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

M. Sharipov comes in with an Elo of 2036, against 1943 for A. Ilagan: a 93-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 173 points in favour of M. Sharipov. A. Ilagan won 5 of the last ten matches, M. Sharipov won 9. A. Ilagan has 2 wins in the last five matches. M. Sharipov has 5 wins in the last five matches. Since 2020, M. Sharipov leads 2 to 0 in their direct meetings. Bookmakers make M. Sharipov the favourite.

The model gave M. Sharipov the win at 71 %, with a likely score of 2-0. A. Ilagan won 2-0: prediction missed.

Recent matches

A. Ilagan's last five matches

M. Sharipov's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

M. Sharipov leads 2 to 0

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, A. Ilagan beat M. Dellavedova (6-4 6-3). To reach this round, M. Sharipov beat N. Honda (7-6 6-2), then W. K. Leong M. (6-2 6-3), then D. Svrcina (3-6 6-3 6-1). In 2025, the tournament was won by E. Spizzirri, who beat A. Bolt in the final (6-4 6-4).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, A. Ilagan wins 41 % (25 of 61), M. Sharipov 57 % (17 of 30). In deciding sets, A. Ilagan wins 52 % of the time (52 matches), M. Sharipov 62 % (29 matches). After losing the first set, A. Ilagan turned 24 % of matches around (68 occasions), M. Sharipov 24 % (37 occasions). After winning the first set, A. Ilagan went on to win 82 % of matches, M. Sharipov 89 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about A. Ilagan – M. Sharipov

Who is the favourite between A. Ilagan and M. Sharipov?
The match is over: A. Ilagan won 2-0. Bookmakers make M. Sharipov the favourite, priced at 1.33 against 3.05 for A. Ilagan. Pronocast's model had M. Sharipov winning at 71 %.
When is the A. Ilagan – M. Sharipov match?
On Thursday, 1 October 2026 at 15:25, at the Jingshan tournament (Round of 16, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between A. Ilagan and M. Sharipov?
Since 2020, M. Sharipov leads 2 to 0 in their direct meetings.
Where can I see the prediction for A. Ilagan – M. Sharipov?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Jingshan

Tournament page

Other matches on 1 October 2026

All matches on 1 October 2026