A. Molcan vs T. Machac prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Missed prediction
A. MolcanT. Machac
43.2 %56.8 %
Model favourite
T. Machac
Probability
57 %
Predicted score
0-2
Actual score
2-0 · A. Molcan

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

ATPBeijinghard court05:20Time to be confirmed
A. Molcan
A. Molcan
vs
T. Machac
T. Machac
2162
Elo
2188
1899
Elo on hard court
2109
5 / 10
Form (last 10)
4 / 10
4
Recent matches
2
Edge
Head-to-head
–
–
Odds
–

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

A. Molcan
  1. L
  2. W
  3. W
  4. L
  5. L
  6. L
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. W
T. Machac
  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. W
  5. L
  6. L
  7. L
  8. L
  9. W
  10. L
5 – 5
Wins – losses
4 – 6
13 – 13
Sets won – lost
10 – 16
2 wins
Current streak
1 loss
31-17 (65%)
2026 record
15-13 (54%)
50-39 (56%)
Record on hard court
143-70 (67%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by A. Molcan and T. Machac, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

T. Machac comes in with an Elo of 2188, against 2162 for A. Molcan: a 26-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 210 points in favour of T. Machac. A. Molcan won 5 of the last ten matches, T. Machac won 4. A. Molcan has 3 wins in the last five matches. T. Machac has one win in the last five matches. Since 2020, A. Molcan leads 2 to 0 in their direct meetings. No bookmaker odds are available for this match.

The model gave T. Machac the win at 57 %, with a likely score of 2-0. A. Molcan won 2-0: prediction missed.

Recent matches

A. Molcan's last five matches

T. Machac's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

A. Molcan leads 2 to 0

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, A. Molcan beat V. Kopriva (7-6 2-6 7-6), then M. Trungelliti (6-4 7-5). In 2025, the tournament was won by J. Sinner, who beat L. Tien in the final (6-2 6-2).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, A. Molcan wins 62 % (57 of 92), T. Machac 55 % (64 of 116). In deciding sets, A. Molcan wins 57 % of the time (86 matches), T. Machac 59 % (104 matches). After losing the first set, A. Molcan turned 25 % of matches around (102 occasions), T. Machac 26 % (116 occasions). After winning the first set, A. Molcan went on to win 84 % of matches, T. Machac 89 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about A. Molcan – T. Machac

Who is the favourite between A. Molcan and T. Machac?
The match is over: A. Molcan won 2-0. No bookmaker odds are available for this match. Pronocast's model had T. Machac winning at 57 %.
When is the A. Molcan – T. Machac match?
On Thursday, 1 October 2026, at the Beijing tournament (hard court). The time is still to be confirmed.
What is the head-to-head between A. Molcan and T. Machac?
Since 2020, A. Molcan leads 2 to 0 in their direct meetings.
Where can I see the prediction for A. Molcan – T. Machac?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Beijing

Tournament page

Other matches on 1 October 2026

All matches on 1 October 2026