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A. Rublev vs R. Safiullin prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
A. RublevR. Safiullin
55.3 %44.7 %
Model favourite
A. Rublev
Probability
55 %
Predicted score
2-0
Actual score
2-1 · A. Rublev

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

ATPBeijingRound of 16hard court07:50
A. Rublev
A. Rublev
vs
R. Safiullin
R. Safiullin
2265
Elo
2222
2141
Elo on hard court
2042
6 / 10
Form (last 10)
6 / 10
5
Recent matches
5
–
Head-to-head
Edge
1.70
Odds
2.18

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

A. Rublev
  1. L
  2. W
  3. L
  4. W
  5. L
  6. W
  7. W
  8. W
  9. L
  10. W
R. Safiullin
  1. W
  2. W
  3. L
  4. L
  5. L
  6. W
  7. W
  8. W
  9. L
  10. W
6 – 4
Wins – losses
6 – 4
15 – 13
Sets won – lost
13 – 10
1 win
Current streak
1 win
32-18 (64%)
2026 record
35-15 (70%)
152-86 (64%)
Record on hard court
104-80 (57%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by A. Rublev and R. Safiullin, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

A. Rublev comes in with an Elo of 2265, against 2222 for R. Safiullin: a 43-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 99 points in favour of A. Rublev. A. Rublev won 6 of the last ten matches, R. Safiullin won 6. A. Rublev has 4 wins in the last five matches. R. Safiullin has 4 wins in the last five matches. Since 2020, R. Safiullin leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings. Bookmakers make A. Rublev the favourite.

The model gave A. Rublev the win at 55 %, with a likely score of 2-0. A. Rublev won 2-1: prediction correct.

Recent matches

A. Rublev's last five matches

R. Safiullin's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

R. Safiullin leads 1 to 0

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, A. Rublev beat T. Griekspoor (6-4 5-7 7-6). To reach this round, R. Safiullin beat F. Cobolli (6-3 6-2). In 2025, the tournament was won by J. Sinner, who beat L. Tien in the final (6-2 6-2).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, A. Rublev wins 53 % (91 of 173), R. Safiullin 48 % (68 of 141). In deciding sets, A. Rublev wins 60 % of the time (113 matches), R. Safiullin 49 % (117 matches). After losing the first set, A. Rublev turned 31 % of matches around (142 occasions), R. Safiullin 25 % (125 occasions). After winning the first set, A. Rublev went on to win 87 % of matches, R. Safiullin 82 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about A. Rublev – R. Safiullin

Who is the favourite between A. Rublev and R. Safiullin?
The match is over: A. Rublev won 2-1. Bookmakers make A. Rublev the favourite, priced at 1.70 against 2.18 for R. Safiullin. Pronocast's model had A. Rublev winning at 55 %.
When is the A. Rublev – R. Safiullin match?
On Saturday, 3 October 2026 at 07:50, at the Beijing tournament (Round of 16, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between A. Rublev and R. Safiullin?
Since 2020, R. Safiullin leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings.
Where can I see the prediction for A. Rublev – R. Safiullin?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Beijing

Tournament page

Other matches on 3 October 2026

All matches on 3 October 2026