A. Tabilo vs A. Mannarino prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Missed prediction
A. TabiloA. Mannarino
63.4 %36.6 %
Model favourite
A. Tabilo
Probability
63 %
Predicted score
2-0
Actual score
0-2 · A. Mannarino

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

ATPChengduRound of 16hard court08:35
A. Tabilo
A. Tabilo
vs
A. Mannarino
A. Mannarino
2186
Elo
2024
2102
Elo on hard court
1951
5 / 10
Form (last 10)
4 / 10
1
Recent matches
3
Even
Head-to-head
Even
1.50
Odds
2.62

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

A. Tabilo
  1. W
  2. W
  3. L
  4. L
  5. W
  6. L
  7. W
  8. W
  9. L
  10. L
A. Mannarino
  1. W
  2. L
  3. L
  4. L
  5. L
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. L
  10. W
5 – 5
Wins – losses
4 – 6
14 – 14
Sets won – lost
9 – 15
2 losses
Current streak
1 win
37-25 (60%)
2026 record
17-29 (37%)
77-59 (57%)
Record on hard court
98-111 (47%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by A. Tabilo and A. Mannarino, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

A. Tabilo comes in with an Elo of 2186, against 2024 for A. Mannarino: a 163-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 151 points in favour of A. Tabilo. A. Tabilo won 5 of the last ten matches, A. Mannarino won 4. A. Tabilo has 2 wins in the last five matches. A. Mannarino has 3 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make A. Tabilo the favourite.

The model gave A. Tabilo the win at 63 %, with a likely score of 2-0. A. Mannarino won 2-0: prediction missed.

Recent matches

A. Tabilo's last five matches

A. Mannarino's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

This is A. Tabilo's first match of the tournament. To reach this round, A. Mannarino beat J. Shang (7-6 6-2). In 2025, the tournament was won by A. Tabilo, who beat L. Musetti in the final (6-3 2-6 7-6). A. Tabilo is therefore defending the title.

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, A. Tabilo wins 48 % (68 of 141), A. Mannarino 44 % (59 of 133). In deciding sets, A. Tabilo wins 54 % of the time (121 matches), A. Mannarino 50 % (103 matches). After losing the first set, A. Tabilo turned 28 % of matches around (141 occasions), A. Mannarino 20 % (181 occasions). After winning the first set, A. Tabilo went on to win 82 % of matches, A. Mannarino 83 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about A. Tabilo – A. Mannarino

Who is the favourite between A. Tabilo and A. Mannarino?
The match is over: A. Mannarino won 2-0. Bookmakers make A. Tabilo the favourite, priced at 1.50 against 2.62 for A. Mannarino. Pronocast's model had A. Tabilo winning at 63 %.
When is the A. Tabilo – A. Mannarino match?
On Friday, 25 September 2026 at 08:35, at the Chengdu tournament (Round of 16, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between A. Tabilo and A. Mannarino?
No meeting between A. Tabilo and A. Mannarino appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for A. Tabilo – A. Mannarino?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Chengdu

Tournament page

Other matches on 25 September 2026

All matches on 25 September 2026