A. Tabilo vs A. Mannarino prediction
The prediction, computed before the match
Missed prediction- Model favourite
- A. Tabilo
- Probability
- 63 %
- Predicted score
- 2-0
- Actual score
- 0-2 · A. Mannarino
Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.
- 2186
- Elo
- 2024
- 2102
- Elo on hard court
- 1951
- 5 / 10
- Form (last 10)
- 4 / 10
- 1
- Recent matches
- 3
- Even
- Head-to-head
- Even
- 1.50
- Odds
- 2.62
Form and record before the match
Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent
- W
- W
- L
- L
- W
- L
- W
- W
- L
- L
- W
- L
- L
- L
- L
- W
- L
- W
- L
- W
- 5 – 5
- Wins – losses
- 4 – 6
- 14 – 14
- Sets won – lost
- 9 – 15
- 2 losses
- Current streak
- 1 win
- 37-25 (60%)
- 2026 record
- 17-29 (37%)
- 77-59 (57%)
- Record on hard court
- 98-111 (47%)
ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by A. Tabilo and A. Mannarino, before this match.
What the numbers said before the match
A. Tabilo comes in with an Elo of 2186, against 2024 for A. Mannarino: a 163-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 151 points in favour of A. Tabilo. A. Tabilo won 5 of the last ten matches, A. Mannarino won 4. A. Tabilo has 2 wins in the last five matches. A. Mannarino has 3 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make A. Tabilo the favourite.
The model gave A. Tabilo the win at 63 %, with a likely score of 2-0. A. Mannarino won 2-0: prediction missed.
Recent matches
A. Tabilo's last five matches
- DD. Merida AguilarATP Davis Cup - World Group 2026 · 19 September 20267-5 3-6 3-6
- DA. ZverevUS Open 2026 · Round of 32 · 6 September 20262-6 6-7 2-6
- VA. PopyrinUS Open 2026 · Round of 64 · 3 September 20262-6 7-6 7-6 6-2
- VY. HanfmannUS Open 2026 · Round of 128 · 31 August 20266-3 6-2 6-7 6-3
- DR. JodarCincinnati 2026 · Round of 32 · 17 August 20262-6 1-6
A. Mannarino's last five matches
- VJ. ShangChengdu 2026 · Round of 32 · 24 September 20267-6 6-2
- DM. BobichonRennes 2026 · Round of 16 · 17 September 20263-6 5-7
- VD. AddedRennes 2026 · Round of 32 · 15 September 20266-2 6-4
- DA. BublikUS Open 2026 · Round of 64 · 3 September 20263-6 1-6 1-6
- VT. A. TiranteUS Open 2026 · Round of 128 · 31 August 20264-6 3-6 6-3 6-3 6-3
Head-to-head since 2020
No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Road through the tournament
This is A. Tabilo's first match of the tournament. To reach this round, A. Mannarino beat J. Shang (7-6 6-2). In 2025, the tournament was won by A. Tabilo, who beat L. Musetti in the final (6-3 2-6 7-6). A. Tabilo is therefore defending the title.
Key numbers
In tie-breaks, A. Tabilo wins 48 % (68 of 141), A. Mannarino 44 % (59 of 133). In deciding sets, A. Tabilo wins 54 % of the time (121 matches), A. Mannarino 50 % (103 matches). After losing the first set, A. Tabilo turned 28 % of matches around (141 occasions), A. Mannarino 20 % (181 occasions). After winning the first set, A. Tabilo went on to win 82 % of matches, A. Mannarino 83 %.
Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.
Frequently asked questions about A. Tabilo – A. Mannarino
- Who is the favourite between A. Tabilo and A. Mannarino?
- The match is over: A. Mannarino won 2-0. Bookmakers make A. Tabilo the favourite, priced at 1.50 against 2.62 for A. Mannarino. Pronocast's model had A. Tabilo winning at 63 %.
- When is the A. Tabilo – A. Mannarino match?
- On Friday, 25 September 2026 at 08:35, at the Chengdu tournament (Round of 16, hard court).
- What is the head-to-head between A. Tabilo and A. Mannarino?
- No meeting between A. Tabilo and A. Mannarino appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
- Where can I see the prediction for A. Tabilo – A. Mannarino?
- The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.
How the model computes its predictions
Same tournament: Chengdu
Tournament page

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