A. Walton vs M. Bellucci prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
A. WaltonM. Bellucci
49.8 %50.2 %
Model favourite
M. Bellucci
Probability
50 %
Predicted score
0-2
Exact score
Actual score
0-2 · M. Bellucci

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerJingshanRound of 16hard court05:10
A. Walton
A. Walton
vs
M. Bellucci
M. Bellucci
2101
Elo
2115
2002
Elo on hard court
2015
6 / 10
Form (last 10)
6 / 10
4
Recent matches
4
–
Head-to-head
Edge
–
Odds
–

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

A. Walton
  1. W
  2. W
  3. L
  4. W
  5. L
  6. L
  7. L
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W
M. Bellucci
  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. L
  5. W
  6. L
  7. L
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W
6 – 4
Wins – losses
6 – 4
14 – 9
Sets won – lost
15 – 10
3 wins
Current streak
3 wins
40-29 (58%)
2026 record
30-26 (54%)
148-104 (59%)
Record on hard court
111-83 (57%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by A. Walton and M. Bellucci, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

Both players come in with almost the same Elo (2101 against 2115): nothing separates them in the model's rating. A. Walton won 6 of the last ten matches, M. Bellucci won 6. A. Walton has 3 wins in the last five matches. M. Bellucci has 3 wins in the last five matches. Since 2020, M. Bellucci leads 3 to 0 in their direct meetings. No bookmaker odds are available for this match.

The model gave M. Bellucci the win at 50 %, with a likely score of 2-0. M. Bellucci won 2-0: prediction correct.

Recent matches

A. Walton's last five matches

M. Bellucci's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

M. Bellucci leads 3 to 0

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, A. Walton beat H. Shiraishi (6-2 6-2), then A. Binda (6-1 6-0), then M. Kouame (6-1 6-4). To reach this round, M. Bellucci beat F. Peliwo (6-2 6-4), then K. Saitoh (6-2 6-2), then A. Muller (6-0 6-3). In 2025, the tournament was won by E. Spizzirri, who beat A. Bolt in the final (6-4 6-4).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, A. Walton wins 50 % (69 of 137), M. Bellucci 53 % (60 of 113). In deciding sets, A. Walton wins 58 % of the time (88 matches), M. Bellucci 49 % (70 matches). After losing the first set, A. Walton turned 20 % of matches around (131 occasions), M. Bellucci 13 % (116 occasions). After winning the first set, A. Walton went on to win 86 % of matches, M. Bellucci 84 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about A. Walton – M. Bellucci

Who is the favourite between A. Walton and M. Bellucci?
The match is over: M. Bellucci won 2-0. No bookmaker odds are available for this match. Pronocast's model had M. Bellucci winning at 50 %.
When is the A. Walton – M. Bellucci match?
On Thursday, 1 October 2026 at 05:10, at the Jingshan tournament (Round of 16, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between A. Walton and M. Bellucci?
Since 2020, M. Bellucci leads 3 to 0 in their direct meetings.
Where can I see the prediction for A. Walton – M. Bellucci?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Jingshan

Tournament page

Other matches on 1 October 2026

All matches on 1 October 2026