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A. Zverev vs C. Norrie prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
A. ZverevC. Norrie
86.9 %13.1 %
Model favourite
A. Zverev
Probability
87 %
Predicted score
2-0
Exact score
Actual score
2-0 · A. Zverev

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

ATPBeijingRound of 32hard court10:10
A. Zverev
A. Zverev
vs
C. Norrie
C. Norrie
2515
Elo
2215
2358
Elo on hard court
2124
9 / 10
Form (last 10)
6 / 10
4
Recent matches
0
Edge
Head-to-head
–
1.10
Odds
6.87

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

A. Zverev
  1. W
  2. W
  3. W
  4. W
  5. W
  6. W
  7. W
  8. W
  9. L
  10. W
C. Norrie
  1. W
  2. W
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. L
  10. L
9 – 1
Wins – losses
6 – 4
25 – 5
Sets won – lost
15 – 11
1 win
Current streak
2 losses
56-14 (80%)
2026 record
21-18 (54%)
163-62 (72%)
Record on hard court
109-82 (57%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by A. Zverev and C. Norrie, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

A. Zverev comes in with an Elo of 2515, against 2215 for C. Norrie: a 300-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 234 points in favour of A. Zverev. A. Zverev won 9 of the last ten matches, C. Norrie won 6. A. Zverev has 4 wins in the last five matches. C. Norrie has 2 wins in the last five matches. Since 2020, A. Zverev leads 6 to 0 in their direct meetings. Bookmakers make A. Zverev the favourite.

The model gave A. Zverev the win at 87 %, with a likely score of 2-0. A. Zverev won 2-0: prediction correct.

Recent matches

A. Zverev's last five matches

C. Norrie's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

A. Zverev leads 6 to 0

Road through the tournament

This is A. Zverev's first match of the tournament. This is C. Norrie's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by J. Sinner, who beat L. Tien in the final (6-2 6-2).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, A. Zverev wins 62 % (134 of 216), C. Norrie 50 % (75 of 150). In deciding sets, A. Zverev wins 63 % of the time (117 matches), C. Norrie 56 % (117 matches). After losing the first set, A. Zverev turned 39 % of matches around (124 occasions), C. Norrie 24 % (135 occasions). After winning the first set, A. Zverev went on to win 91 % of matches, C. Norrie 83 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about A. Zverev – C. Norrie

Who is the favourite between A. Zverev and C. Norrie?
The match is over: A. Zverev won 2-0. Bookmakers make A. Zverev the favourite, priced at 1.10 against 6.87 for C. Norrie. Pronocast's model had A. Zverev winning at 87 %.
When is the A. Zverev – C. Norrie match?
On Thursday, 1 October 2026 at 10:10, at the Beijing tournament (Round of 32, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between A. Zverev and C. Norrie?
Since 2020, A. Zverev leads 6 to 0 in their direct meetings.
Where can I see the prediction for A. Zverev – C. Norrie?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Beijing

Tournament page

Other matches on 1 October 2026

All matches on 1 October 2026