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A. Zverev vs J. Shang prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
A. ZverevJ. Shang
92.5 %7.5 %
Model favourite
A. Zverev
Probability
92 %
Predicted score
2-0
Exact score
Actual score
2-0 · A. Zverev

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

ATPBeijingRound of 16hard court13:15
A. Zverev
A. Zverev
vs
J. Shang
J. Shang
2519
Elo
2084
2364
Elo on hard court
1954
9 / 10
Form (last 10)
3 / 10
5
Recent matches
2
Even
Head-to-head
Even
1.07
Odds
9.00

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

A. Zverev
  1. W
  2. W
  3. W
  4. W
  5. W
  6. W
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. W
J. Shang
  1. L
  2. L
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W
  6. L
  7. L
  8. L
  9. L
  10. W
9 – 1
Wins – losses
3 – 7
24 – 3
Sets won – lost
10 – 17
2 wins
Current streak
1 win
57-14 (80%)
2026 record
6-9 (40%)
164-62 (73%)
Record on hard court
83-55 (60%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by A. Zverev and J. Shang, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

A. Zverev comes in with an Elo of 2519, against 2084 for J. Shang: a 435-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 410 points in favour of A. Zverev. A. Zverev won 9 of the last ten matches, J. Shang won 3. A. Zverev has 4 wins in the last five matches. J. Shang has one win in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make A. Zverev the favourite.

The model gave A. Zverev the win at 92 %, with a likely score of 2-0. A. Zverev won 2-0: prediction correct.

Recent matches

A. Zverev's last five matches

J. Shang's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, A. Zverev beat C. Norrie (7-6 6-4). To reach this round, J. Shang beat S. Baez (5-7 6-3 7-5). In 2025, the tournament was won by J. Sinner, who beat L. Tien in the final (6-2 6-2).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, A. Zverev wins 62 % (135 of 217), J. Shang 53 % (54 of 101). In deciding sets, A. Zverev wins 63 % of the time (117 matches), J. Shang 58 % (84 matches). After losing the first set, A. Zverev turned 39 % of matches around (124 occasions), J. Shang 27 % (74 occasions). After winning the first set, A. Zverev went on to win 91 % of matches, J. Shang 79 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about A. Zverev – J. Shang

Who is the favourite between A. Zverev and J. Shang?
The match is over: A. Zverev won 2-0. Bookmakers make A. Zverev the favourite, priced at 1.07 against 9.00 for J. Shang. Pronocast's model had A. Zverev winning at 92 %.
When is the A. Zverev – J. Shang match?
On Saturday, 3 October 2026 at 13:15, at the Beijing tournament (Round of 16, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between A. Zverev and J. Shang?
No meeting between A. Zverev and J. Shang appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for A. Zverev – J. Shang?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Beijing

Tournament page

Other matches on 3 October 2026

All matches on 3 October 2026