D. Vallejo vs R. Jodar prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Missed prediction
D. VallejoR. Jodar
18.5 %81.5 %
Model favourite
R. Jodar
Probability
81 %
Predicted score
0-2
Actual score
2-0 · D. Vallejo

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

ATPTokyoRound of 32hard court12:35
D. Vallejo
D. Vallejo
vs
R. Jodar
R. Jodar
2120
Elo
2398
1899
Elo on hard court
2227
5 / 10
Form (last 10)
7 / 10
6
Recent matches
2
Even
Head-to-head
Even
4.75
Odds
1.19

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

D. Vallejo
  1. W
  2. L
  3. L
  4. L
  5. L
  6. W
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. W
R. Jodar
  1. W
  2. W
  3. W
  4. L
  5. W
  6. W
  7. L
  8. L
  9. W
  10. W
5 – 5
Wins – losses
7 – 3
14 – 14
Sets won – lost
15 – 8
2 wins
Current streak
2 wins
42-21 (67%)
2026 record
48-16 (75%)
14-19 (42%)
Record on hard court
60-23 (72%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by D. Vallejo and R. Jodar, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

R. Jodar comes in with an Elo of 2398, against 2120 for D. Vallejo: a 278-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 328 points in favour of R. Jodar. D. Vallejo won 5 of the last ten matches, R. Jodar won 7. D. Vallejo has 4 wins in the last five matches. R. Jodar has 3 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make R. Jodar the favourite.

The model gave R. Jodar the win at 81 %, with a likely score of 2-0. D. Vallejo won 2-0: prediction missed.

Recent matches

D. Vallejo's last five matches

R. Jodar's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, D. Vallejo beat T. Daniel (6-3 6-2), then J. Faria (6-4 5-7 7-5). This is R. Jodar's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by C. Alcaraz, who beat T. Fritz in the final (6-4 6-4).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, D. Vallejo wins 33 % (16 of 48), R. Jodar 45 % (13 of 29). In deciding sets, D. Vallejo wins 56 % of the time (62 matches), R. Jodar 79 % (33 matches). After losing the first set, D. Vallejo turned 21 % of matches around (86 occasions), R. Jodar 32 % (38 occasions). After winning the first set, D. Vallejo went on to win 85 % of matches, R. Jodar 94 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about D. Vallejo – R. Jodar

Who is the favourite between D. Vallejo and R. Jodar?
The match is over: D. Vallejo won 2-0. Bookmakers make R. Jodar the favourite, priced at 1.19 against 4.75 for D. Vallejo. Pronocast's model had R. Jodar winning at 81 %.
When is the D. Vallejo – R. Jodar match?
On Thursday, 1 October 2026 at 12:35, at the Tokyo tournament (Round of 32, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between D. Vallejo and R. Jodar?
No meeting between D. Vallejo and R. Jodar appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for D. Vallejo – R. Jodar?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Tokyo

Tournament page

Other matches on 1 October 2026

All matches on 1 October 2026