F. Cerundolo vs J. Mensik prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Missed prediction
F. CerundoloJ. Mensik
34.0 %66.0 %
Model favourite
J. Mensik
Probability
66 %
Predicted score
0-2
Actual score
2-0 · F. Cerundolo

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

ATPBeijingRound of 16hard court14:10
F. Cerundolo
F. Cerundolo
vs
J. Mensik
J. Mensik
2272
Elo
2286
2130
Elo on hard court
2199
6 / 10
Form (last 10)
6 / 10
4
Recent matches
3
Edge
Head-to-head
–
2.72
Odds
1.47

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

F. Cerundolo
  1. L
  2. L
  3. W
  4. W
  5. W
  6. L
  7. W
  8. W
  9. L
  10. W
J. Mensik
  1. W
  2. W
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W
  6. L
  7. L
  8. W
  9. L
  10. W
6 – 4
Wins – losses
6 – 4
17 – 14
Sets won – lost
18 – 12
1 win
Current streak
1 win
33-17 (66%)
2026 record
34-18 (65%)
61-59 (51%)
Record on hard court
90-48 (65%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by F. Cerundolo and J. Mensik, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

Both players come in with almost the same Elo (2272 against 2286): nothing separates them in the model's rating. On hard court, the gap is 69 points in favour of J. Mensik. F. Cerundolo won 6 of the last ten matches, J. Mensik won 6. F. Cerundolo has 3 wins in the last five matches. J. Mensik has 2 wins in the last five matches. Since 2020, F. Cerundolo leads 2 to 0 in their direct meetings. Bookmakers make J. Mensik the favourite.

The model gave J. Mensik the win at 66 %, with a likely score of 2-0. F. Cerundolo won 2-0: prediction missed.

Recent matches

F. Cerundolo's last five matches

J. Mensik's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

F. Cerundolo leads 2 to 0

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, F. Cerundolo beat B. Van De Zandschulp (5-7 6-4 6-3). To reach this round, J. Mensik beat A. Bublik (6-4 7-6). In 2025, the tournament was won by J. Sinner, who beat L. Tien in the final (6-2 6-2).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, F. Cerundolo wins 53 % (71 of 133), J. Mensik 60 % (67 of 112). In deciding sets, F. Cerundolo wins 55 % of the time (119 matches), J. Mensik 52 % (89 matches). After losing the first set, F. Cerundolo turned 28 % of matches around (150 occasions), J. Mensik 21 % (76 occasions). After winning the first set, F. Cerundolo went on to win 85 % of matches, J. Mensik 83 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about F. Cerundolo – J. Mensik

Who is the favourite between F. Cerundolo and J. Mensik?
The match is over: F. Cerundolo won 2-0. Bookmakers make J. Mensik the favourite, priced at 1.47 against 2.72 for F. Cerundolo. Pronocast's model had J. Mensik winning at 66 %.
When is the F. Cerundolo – J. Mensik match?
On Saturday, 3 October 2026 at 14:10, at the Beijing tournament (Round of 16, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between F. Cerundolo and J. Mensik?
Since 2020, F. Cerundolo leads 2 to 0 in their direct meetings.
Where can I see the prediction for F. Cerundolo – J. Mensik?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Beijing

Tournament page

Other matches on 3 October 2026

All matches on 3 October 2026