H. Rune vs K. Jacquet prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Missed prediction
H. RuneK. Jacquet
60.1 %39.9 %
Model favourite
H. Rune
Probability
60 %
Predicted score
2-0
Actual score
0-2 · K. Jacquet

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

ATPTokyoRound of 32hard court06:15
H. Rune
H. Rune
vs
K. Jacquet
K. Jacquet
2275
Elo
2101
2183
Elo on hard court
2043
8 / 10
Form (last 10)
6 / 10
2
Recent matches
4
Even
Head-to-head
Even
1.57
Odds
2.51

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

H. Rune
  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. W
  5. W
  6. L
  7. W
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W
K. Jacquet
  1. W
  2. W
  3. L
  4. L
  5. W
  6. L
  7. W
  8. W
  9. W
  10. L
8 – 2
Wins – losses
6 – 4
17 – 7
Sets won – lost
13 – 9
4 wins
Current streak
1 loss
2-0 (100%)
2026 record
29-16 (64%)
112-62 (64%)
Record on hard court
77-48 (62%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by H. Rune and K. Jacquet, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

H. Rune comes in with an Elo of 2275, against 2101 for K. Jacquet: a 174-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 140 points in favour of H. Rune. H. Rune won 8 of the last ten matches, K. Jacquet won 6. H. Rune has 4 wins in the last five matches. K. Jacquet has 3 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make H. Rune the favourite.

The model gave H. Rune the win at 60 %, with a likely score of 2-0. K. Jacquet won 2-0: prediction missed.

Recent matches

H. Rune's last five matches

K. Jacquet's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

This is H. Rune's first match of the tournament. This is K. Jacquet's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by C. Alcaraz, who beat T. Fritz in the final (6-4 6-4).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, H. Rune wins 62 % (88 of 142), K. Jacquet 60 % (48 of 80). In deciding sets, H. Rune wins 59 % of the time (111 matches), K. Jacquet 51 % (81 matches). After losing the first set, H. Rune turned 33 % of matches around (123 occasions), K. Jacquet 23 % (88 occasions). After winning the first set, H. Rune went on to win 89 % of matches, K. Jacquet 83 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about H. Rune – K. Jacquet

Who is the favourite between H. Rune and K. Jacquet?
The match is over: K. Jacquet won 2-0. Bookmakers make H. Rune the favourite, priced at 1.57 against 2.51 for K. Jacquet. Pronocast's model had H. Rune winning at 60 %.
When is the H. Rune – K. Jacquet match?
On Thursday, 1 October 2026 at 06:15, at the Tokyo tournament (Round of 32, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between H. Rune and K. Jacquet?
No meeting between H. Rune and K. Jacquet appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for H. Rune – K. Jacquet?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Tokyo

Tournament page

Other matches on 1 October 2026

All matches on 1 October 2026