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J. Faria vs H. Gaston prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Missed prediction
J. FariaH. Gaston
65.8 %34.2 %
Model favourite
J. Faria
Probability
66 %
Predicted score
2-0
Actual score
1-2 · H. Gaston

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

ATPHangzhouRound of 16hard court14:10
J. Faria
J. Faria
vs
H. Gaston
H. Gaston
2197
Elo
2065
2050
Elo on hard court
2004
8 / 10
Form (last 10)
5 / 10
2
Recent matches
1
Even
Head-to-head
Even
1.43
Odds
2.44

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

J. Faria
  1. W
  2. W
  3. W
  4. W
  5. W
  6. L
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. W
H. Gaston
  1. L
  2. L
  3. L
  4. W
  5. L
  6. W
  7. W
  8. W
  9. L
  10. W
8 – 2
Wins – losses
5 – 5
18 – 9
Sets won – lost
12 – 12
2 wins
Current streak
1 win
48-23 (68%)
2026 record
27-24 (53%)
29-21 (58%)
Record on hard court
87-82 (51%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by J. Faria and H. Gaston, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

J. Faria comes in with an Elo of 2197, against 2065 for H. Gaston: a 132-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 46 points in favour of J. Faria. J. Faria won 8 of the last ten matches, H. Gaston won 5. J. Faria has 3 wins in the last five matches. H. Gaston has 4 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make J. Faria the favourite.

The model gave J. Faria the win at 66 %, with a likely score of 2-0. H. Gaston won 2-1: prediction missed.

Recent matches

J. Faria's last five matches

H. Gaston's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, J. Faria beat T. Atmane (3-6 7-6 6-4). To reach this round, H. Gaston beat S. Shimabukuro (6-4 6-4). In 2025, the tournament was won by A. Bublik, who beat V. Royer in the final (7-6 7-6).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, J. Faria wins 52 % (43 of 82), H. Gaston 60 % (68 of 113). In deciding sets, J. Faria wins 57 % of the time (74 matches), H. Gaston 54 % (124 matches). After losing the first set, J. Faria turned 28 % of matches around (88 occasions), H. Gaston 23 % (159 occasions). After winning the first set, J. Faria went on to win 80 % of matches, H. Gaston 78 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about J. Faria – H. Gaston

Who is the favourite between J. Faria and H. Gaston?
The match is over: H. Gaston won 2-1. Bookmakers make J. Faria the favourite, priced at 1.43 against 2.44 for H. Gaston. Pronocast's model had J. Faria winning at 66 %.
When is the J. Faria – H. Gaston match?
On Friday, 25 September 2026 at 14:10, at the Hangzhou tournament (Round of 16, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between J. Faria and H. Gaston?
No meeting between J. Faria and H. Gaston appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for J. Faria – H. Gaston?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Hangzhou

Tournament page

Other matches on 25 September 2026

All matches on 25 September 2026