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J. Lehecka vs Z. Bergs prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
J. LeheckaZ. Bergs
70.0 %30.0 %
Model favourite
J. Lehecka
Probability
70 %
Predicted score
2-0
Actual score
2-1 · J. Lehecka

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

ATPTokyoRound of 32hard court07:30
J. Lehecka
J. Lehecka
vs
Z. Bergs
Z. Bergs
2336
Elo
2148
2190
Elo on hard court
1998
7 / 10
Form (last 10)
5 / 10
2
Recent matches
2
Edge
Head-to-head
–
1.38
Odds
3.24

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

J. Lehecka
  1. W
  2. W
  3. L
  4. W
  5. L
  6. W
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. W
Z. Bergs
  1. W
  2. L
  3. L
  4. L
  5. W
  6. W
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. L
7 – 3
Wins – losses
5 – 5
18 – 9
Sets won – lost
15 – 15
2 wins
Current streak
1 loss
30-16 (65%)
2026 record
24-23 (51%)
111-76 (59%)
Record on hard court
100-82 (55%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by J. Lehecka and Z. Bergs, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

J. Lehecka comes in with an Elo of 2336, against 2148 for Z. Bergs: a 187-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 192 points in favour of J. Lehecka. J. Lehecka won 7 of the last ten matches, Z. Bergs won 5. J. Lehecka has 4 wins in the last five matches. Z. Bergs has 3 wins in the last five matches. Since 2020, J. Lehecka leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings. Bookmakers make J. Lehecka the favourite.

The model gave J. Lehecka the win at 70 %, with a likely score of 2-0. J. Lehecka won 2-1: prediction correct.

Recent matches

J. Lehecka's last five matches

Z. Bergs's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

J. Lehecka leads 1 to 0

Road through the tournament

This is J. Lehecka's first match of the tournament. This is Z. Bergs's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by C. Alcaraz, who beat T. Fritz in the final (6-4 6-4).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, J. Lehecka wins 55 % (76 of 139), Z. Bergs 56 % (83 of 148). In deciding sets, J. Lehecka wins 59 % of the time (93 matches), Z. Bergs 55 % (125 matches). After losing the first set, J. Lehecka turned 23 % of matches around (130 occasions), Z. Bergs 21 % (150 occasions). After winning the first set, J. Lehecka went on to win 87 % of matches, Z. Bergs 86 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about J. Lehecka – Z. Bergs

Who is the favourite between J. Lehecka and Z. Bergs?
The match is over: J. Lehecka won 2-1. Bookmakers make J. Lehecka the favourite, priced at 1.38 against 3.24 for Z. Bergs. Pronocast's model had J. Lehecka winning at 70 %.
When is the J. Lehecka – Z. Bergs match?
On Thursday, 1 October 2026 at 07:30, at the Tokyo tournament (Round of 32, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between J. Lehecka and Z. Bergs?
Since 2020, J. Lehecka leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings.
Where can I see the prediction for J. Lehecka – Z. Bergs?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Tokyo

Tournament page

Other matches on 1 October 2026

All matches on 1 October 2026