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R. Hijikata vs A. Rublev prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
R. HijikataA. Rublev
29.5 %70.5 %
Model favourite
A. Rublev
Probability
70 %
Predicted score
0-2
Exact score
Actual score
0-2 · A. Rublev

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

ATPHangzhouRound of 16hard court12:35
R. Hijikata
R. Hijikata
vs
A. Rublev
A. Rublev
2117
Elo
2243
2033
Elo on hard court
2096
5 / 10
Form (last 10)
6 / 10
1
Recent matches
0
Even
Head-to-head
Even
3.05
Odds
1.39

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

R. Hijikata
  1. L
  2. L
  3. W
  4. W
  5. L
  6. W
  7. W
  8. L
  9. L
  10. W
A. Rublev
  1. W
  2. W
  3. W
  4. W
  5. L
  6. L
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. L
5 – 5
Wins – losses
6 – 4
12 – 13
Sets won – lost
16 – 12
1 win
Current streak
1 loss
33-26 (56%)
2026 record
28-17 (62%)
140-102 (58%)
Record on hard court
148-85 (64%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by R. Hijikata and A. Rublev, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

A. Rublev comes in with an Elo of 2243, against 2117 for R. Hijikata: a 126-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 64 points in favour of A. Rublev. R. Hijikata won 5 of the last ten matches, A. Rublev won 6. R. Hijikata has 3 wins in the last five matches. A. Rublev has 2 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make A. Rublev the favourite.

The model gave A. Rublev the win at 70 %, with a likely score of 2-0. A. Rublev won 2-0: prediction correct.

Recent matches

R. Hijikata's last five matches

A. Rublev's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, R. Hijikata beat D. Svrcina (7-6 6-4). This is A. Rublev's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by A. Bublik, who beat V. Royer in the final (7-6 7-6).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, R. Hijikata wins 61 % (81 of 133), A. Rublev 52 % (88 of 169). In deciding sets, R. Hijikata wins 54 % of the time (112 matches), A. Rublev 59 % (111 matches). After losing the first set, R. Hijikata turned 24 % of matches around (156 occasions), A. Rublev 31 % (140 occasions). After winning the first set, R. Hijikata went on to win 81 % of matches, A. Rublev 87 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about R. Hijikata – A. Rublev

Who is the favourite between R. Hijikata and A. Rublev?
The match is over: A. Rublev won 2-0. Bookmakers make A. Rublev the favourite, priced at 1.39 against 3.05 for R. Hijikata. Pronocast's model had A. Rublev winning at 70 %.
When is the R. Hijikata – A. Rublev match?
On Friday, 25 September 2026 at 12:35, at the Hangzhou tournament (Round of 16, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between R. Hijikata and A. Rublev?
No meeting between R. Hijikata and A. Rublev appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for R. Hijikata – A. Rublev?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Hangzhou

Tournament page

Other matches on 25 September 2026

All matches on 25 September 2026