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R. Safiullin vs F. Cobolli prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Missed prediction
R. SafiullinF. Cobolli
49.4 %50.6 %
Model favourite
F. Cobolli
Probability
51 %
Predicted score
0-2
Actual score
2-0 · R. Safiullin

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

ATPBeijingRound of 32hard court08:15
R. Safiullin
R. Safiullin
vs
F. Cobolli
F. Cobolli
2200
Elo
2276
2015
Elo on hard court
2092
5 / 10
Form (last 10)
6 / 10
4
Recent matches
1
Even
Head-to-head
Even
1.95
Odds
1.87

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

R. Safiullin
  1. L
  2. W
  3. W
  4. L
  5. L
  6. L
  7. W
  8. W
  9. W
  10. L
F. Cobolli
  1. L
  2. W
  3. W
  4. W
  5. W
  6. L
  7. W
  8. W
  9. L
  10. L
5 – 5
Wins – losses
6 – 4
12 – 13
Sets won – lost
16 – 16
1 loss
Current streak
2 losses
34-15 (69%)
2026 record
33-20 (62%)
103-80 (56%)
Record on hard court
82-74 (53%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by R. Safiullin and F. Cobolli, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

F. Cobolli comes in with an Elo of 2276, against 2200 for R. Safiullin: a 76-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 77 points in favour of F. Cobolli. R. Safiullin won 5 of the last ten matches, F. Cobolli won 6. R. Safiullin has 3 wins in the last five matches. F. Cobolli has 2 wins in the last five matches. Since 2020, F. Cobolli leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings. Bookmakers make F. Cobolli the favourite.

The model gave F. Cobolli the win at 51 %, with a likely score of 2-0. R. Safiullin won 2-0: prediction missed.

Recent matches

R. Safiullin's last five matches

F. Cobolli's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

F. Cobolli leads 1 to 0

Road through the tournament

This is R. Safiullin's first match of the tournament. This is F. Cobolli's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by J. Sinner, who beat L. Tien in the final (6-2 6-2).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, R. Safiullin wins 48 % (68 of 141), F. Cobolli 56 % (83 of 149). In deciding sets, R. Safiullin wins 49 % of the time (117 matches), F. Cobolli 64 % (133 matches). After losing the first set, R. Safiullin turned 25 % of matches around (125 occasions), F. Cobolli 26 % (185 occasions). After winning the first set, R. Safiullin went on to win 82 % of matches, F. Cobolli 88 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about R. Safiullin – F. Cobolli

Who is the favourite between R. Safiullin and F. Cobolli?
The match is over: R. Safiullin won 2-0. Bookmakers cannot separate the two players: R. Safiullin is priced at 1.95, F. Cobolli at 1.87. Pronocast's model had F. Cobolli winning at 51 %.
When is the R. Safiullin – F. Cobolli match?
On Thursday, 1 October 2026 at 08:15, at the Beijing tournament (Round of 32, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between R. Safiullin and F. Cobolli?
Since 2020, F. Cobolli leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings.
Where can I see the prediction for R. Safiullin – F. Cobolli?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Beijing

Tournament page

Other matches on 1 October 2026

All matches on 1 October 2026