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T. Griekspoor vs A. Rublev prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
T. GriekspoorA. Rublev
38.4 %61.6 %
Model favourite
A. Rublev
Probability
62 %
Predicted score
0-2
Actual score
1-2 · A. Rublev

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

ATPBeijingRound of 32hard court11:25
T. Griekspoor
T. Griekspoor
vs
A. Rublev
A. Rublev
2122
Elo
2257
2080
Elo on hard court
2129
4 / 10
Form (last 10)
5 / 10
2
Recent matches
4
Even
Head-to-head
Even
2.45
Odds
1.55

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

T. Griekspoor
  1. L
  2. L
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W
  6. W
  7. L
  8. L
  9. W
  10. L
A. Rublev
  1. L
  2. L
  3. W
  4. L
  5. W
  6. L
  7. W
  8. W
  9. W
  10. L
4 – 6
Wins – losses
5 – 5
12 – 16
Sets won – lost
14 – 14
1 loss
Current streak
1 loss
15-20 (43%)
2026 record
31-18 (63%)
81-73 (53%)
Record on hard court
151-86 (64%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by T. Griekspoor and A. Rublev, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

A. Rublev comes in with an Elo of 2257, against 2122 for T. Griekspoor: a 135-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 49 points in favour of A. Rublev. T. Griekspoor won 4 of the last ten matches, A. Rublev won 5. T. Griekspoor has 2 wins in the last five matches. A. Rublev has 3 wins in the last five matches. Since 2020, A. Rublev leads 3 to 1 in their direct meetings. Bookmakers make A. Rublev the favourite.

The model gave A. Rublev the win at 62 %, with a likely score of 2-0. A. Rublev won 2-1: prediction correct.

Recent matches

T. Griekspoor's last five matches

A. Rublev's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

A. Rublev leads 3 to 1

Road through the tournament

This is T. Griekspoor's first match of the tournament. This is A. Rublev's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by J. Sinner, who beat L. Tien in the final (6-2 6-2).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, T. Griekspoor wins 56 % (109 of 196), A. Rublev 52 % (90 of 172). In deciding sets, T. Griekspoor wins 57 % of the time (128 matches), A. Rublev 60 % (112 matches). After losing the first set, T. Griekspoor turned 29 % of matches around (136 occasions), A. Rublev 31 % (142 occasions). After winning the first set, T. Griekspoor went on to win 80 % of matches, A. Rublev 87 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about T. Griekspoor – A. Rublev

Who is the favourite between T. Griekspoor and A. Rublev?
The match is over: A. Rublev won 2-1. Bookmakers make A. Rublev the favourite, priced at 1.55 against 2.45 for T. Griekspoor. Pronocast's model had A. Rublev winning at 62 %.
When is the T. Griekspoor – A. Rublev match?
On Thursday, 1 October 2026 at 11:25, at the Beijing tournament (Round of 32, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between T. Griekspoor and A. Rublev?
Since 2020, A. Rublev leads 3 to 1 in their direct meetings.
Where can I see the prediction for T. Griekspoor – A. Rublev?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Beijing

Tournament page

Other matches on 1 October 2026

All matches on 1 October 2026