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T. M. Etcheverry vs S. Tsitsipas prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
T. M. EtcheverryS. Tsitsipas
32.4 %67.6 %
Model favourite
S. Tsitsipas
Probability
68 %
Predicted score
0-2
Actual score
1-2 · S. Tsitsipas

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

ATPTokyoRound of 32hard court05:40
T. M. Etcheverry
T. M. Etcheverry
vs
S. Tsitsipas
S. Tsitsipas
2126
Elo
2276
2030
Elo on hard court
2168
4 / 10
Form (last 10)
8 / 10
1
Recent matches
4
–
Head-to-head
Edge
–
Odds
–

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

T. M. Etcheverry
  1. W
  2. L
  3. L
  4. L
  5. L
  6. W
  7. W
  8. W
  9. L
  10. L
S. Tsitsipas
  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. W
  5. W
  6. L
  7. W
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W
4 – 6
Wins – losses
8 – 2
11 – 14
Sets won – lost
19 – 9
2 losses
Current streak
4 wins
25-23 (52%)
2026 record
32-20 (62%)
50-59 (46%)
Record on hard court
125-73 (63%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by T. M. Etcheverry and S. Tsitsipas, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

S. Tsitsipas comes in with an Elo of 2276, against 2126 for T. M. Etcheverry: a 150-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 137 points in favour of S. Tsitsipas. T. M. Etcheverry won 4 of the last ten matches, S. Tsitsipas won 8. T. M. Etcheverry has 3 wins in the last five matches. S. Tsitsipas has 4 wins in the last five matches. Since 2020, S. Tsitsipas leads 2 to 0 in their direct meetings. No bookmaker odds are available for this match.

The model gave S. Tsitsipas the win at 68 %, with a likely score of 2-0. S. Tsitsipas won 2-1: prediction correct.

Recent matches

T. M. Etcheverry's last five matches

S. Tsitsipas's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

S. Tsitsipas leads 2 to 0

Road through the tournament

This is T. M. Etcheverry's first match of the tournament. To reach this round, S. Tsitsipas beat Y. Nishioka (7-5 6-2), then R. Hijikata (6-4 6-3). In 2025, the tournament was won by C. Alcaraz, who beat T. Fritz in the final (6-4 6-4).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, T. M. Etcheverry wins 52 % (84 of 162), S. Tsitsipas 55 % (106 of 194). In deciding sets, T. M. Etcheverry wins 53 % of the time (135 matches), S. Tsitsipas 62 % (102 matches). After losing the first set, T. M. Etcheverry turned 24 % of matches around (161 occasions), S. Tsitsipas 28 % (130 occasions). After winning the first set, T. M. Etcheverry went on to win 81 % of matches, S. Tsitsipas 90 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about T. M. Etcheverry – S. Tsitsipas

Who is the favourite between T. M. Etcheverry and S. Tsitsipas?
The match is over: S. Tsitsipas won 2-1. No bookmaker odds are available for this match. Pronocast's model had S. Tsitsipas winning at 68 %.
When is the T. M. Etcheverry – S. Tsitsipas match?
On Thursday, 1 October 2026 at 05:40, at the Tokyo tournament (Round of 32, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between T. M. Etcheverry and S. Tsitsipas?
Since 2020, S. Tsitsipas leads 2 to 0 in their direct meetings.
Where can I see the prediction for T. M. Etcheverry – S. Tsitsipas?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Tokyo

Tournament page

Other matches on 1 October 2026

All matches on 1 October 2026