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U. Humbert vs J. Lehecka prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
U. HumbertJ. Lehecka
40.2 %59.8 %
Model favourite
J. Lehecka
Probability
60 %
Predicted score
0-2
Actual score
1-2 · J. Lehecka

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

ATPTokyoRound of 16hard court11:15
U. Humbert
U. Humbert
vs
J. Lehecka
J. Lehecka
2209
Elo
2342
2118
Elo on hard court
2198
5 / 10
Form (last 10)
7 / 10
1
Recent matches
2
Edge
Head-to-head
–
2.37
Odds
1.60

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

U. Humbert
  1. W
  2. W
  3. W
  4. L
  5. L
  6. W
  7. L
  8. L
  9. L
  10. W
J. Lehecka
  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. L
  5. W
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W
5 – 5
Wins – losses
7 – 3
14 – 11
Sets won – lost
18 – 10
1 win
Current streak
3 wins
26-21 (55%)
2026 record
31-16 (66%)
119-76 (61%)
Record on hard court
112-76 (60%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by U. Humbert and J. Lehecka, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

J. Lehecka comes in with an Elo of 2342, against 2209 for U. Humbert: a 133-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 80 points in favour of J. Lehecka. U. Humbert won 5 of the last ten matches, J. Lehecka won 7. U. Humbert has 2 wins in the last five matches. J. Lehecka has 4 wins in the last five matches. Since 2020, U. Humbert leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings. Bookmakers make J. Lehecka the favourite.

The model gave J. Lehecka the win at 60 %, with a likely score of 2-0. J. Lehecka won 2-1: prediction correct.

Recent matches

U. Humbert's last five matches

J. Lehecka's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

U. Humbert leads 1 to 0

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, U. Humbert beat B. Nakashima (6-3 6-2). To reach this round, J. Lehecka beat Z. Bergs (6-3 6-7 6-3). In 2025, the tournament was won by C. Alcaraz, who beat T. Fritz in the final (6-4 6-4).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, U. Humbert wins 50 % (79 of 158), J. Lehecka 54 % (76 of 140). In deciding sets, U. Humbert wins 46 % of the time (114 matches), J. Lehecka 60 % (94 matches). After losing the first set, U. Humbert turned 21 % of matches around (120 occasions), J. Lehecka 23 % (130 occasions). After winning the first set, U. Humbert went on to win 82 % of matches, J. Lehecka 87 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about U. Humbert – J. Lehecka

Who is the favourite between U. Humbert and J. Lehecka?
The match is over: J. Lehecka won 2-1. Bookmakers make J. Lehecka the favourite, priced at 1.60 against 2.37 for U. Humbert. Pronocast's model had J. Lehecka winning at 60 %.
When is the U. Humbert – J. Lehecka match?
On Saturday, 3 October 2026 at 11:15, at the Tokyo tournament (Round of 16, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between U. Humbert and J. Lehecka?
Since 2020, U. Humbert leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings.
Where can I see the prediction for U. Humbert – J. Lehecka?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Tokyo

Tournament page

Other matches on 3 October 2026

All matches on 3 October 2026